Teuflesberg posts upset victory in Southwest Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/20/2007 - Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Five weeks after finishing a distant third to Hard Spun at the Fair Grounds, 23-1 longshot Teuflesberg registered a major upset on Presidents' Day over the Kentucky Derby hopeful. Teuflesberg went wire to wire to win the $250,000 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park.

Hard Spun was sent off as the 1-2 odds-on favorite in the nine horse field. The colt brought an undefeated record into the one mile race. He just had to overcome the outside post.

Teuflesberg bobbled a bit coming out of the starting gate, but quickly took the lead on his way to 1 1/2 length triumph. Jockey Stewart Elliott notched his second win in the Southwest Stakes. Three years ago he rode Smarty Jones to victory on his way to claiming the Run for the Roses.

Hard Spun has been compared to Smarty Jones. Both were bred in Pennsylvania and won the Pennsylvania Nursery at Philadelphia Park. On Monday Hard Spun, with Mario Pino riding, left the gate in good shape and settled about six lengths off the pace.

Pino asked the favorite for more heading into the far turn while racing on the outside. Hard Spun got to second coming off the turn for home, but began to falter down the stretch.

Finishing second was 12-1 longshot Officer Rocket with Forty Grams third. Hard Spun faded to fourth followed by Xchanger, Going Ballistic, Starbase, Our Sacred Honor and I Got a Dream.

The time for the Southwest Stakes was 1:38.20 on a fast track.

Teuflesberg is trained by co-owner Jamie Sanders, and adds $150,000 to his bankroll. The three-year-old has won four of 13 career starts for more than $317,000. This was his win of 2007 and his second career stakes triumph.

Teuflesberg returned $48.80, $20.00 and $10.80. Officer Rocket paid $9.80 and $5.40, and Forty Grams paid $6.40 for show.

The next important race for three-year-olds at Oaklawn Park is the Rebel Stakes on Saturday, March 17. The $1 million Arkansas Derby is Saturday, April 14.

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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